Counterpoint Research forecasts a 3% year-on-year growth in India's 4G smartphone shipments by 2026, marking a recovery from a 48% decline observed in 2025. The share of 4G smartphones in the Indian market is expected to rise from 11% in 2025 to 13% in 2026, with further growth to 15% projected for 2027.
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This increase is attributed to the rising costs of 5G components, making 5G devices less affordable for consumers and prompting a shift towards budget-friendly 4G options. The demand for 4G smartphones, particularly in the price segment of Rs 10,000 to Rs 20,000, is growing as consumers seek better specifications without the premium cost associated with 5G.
Counterpoint noted that the number of original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) introducing 4G models in the budget range has increased significantly, from two in 2025 to twelve in 2026. This expansion indicates that 4G is becoming a viable option beyond just entry-level devices, appealing to a wider range of consumers looking for quality specifications at competitive prices.
Senior Analyst Prachir Singh emphasized that the demand for 4G is shifting beyond traditional segments, with the sub-Rs 20,000 price range emerging as a key growth area. He pointed out that as 5G devices remain high-priced due to component costs, 4G's value proposition is increasingly attractive.
Research Director Tarun Pathak remarked on the changing dynamics of the smartphone market, noting that the expected rise in 4G's market share reflects a longer-term trend rather than a temporary reaction to rising prices. The growing importance of 4G, particularly in the mid-range segment, is poised to encourage OEMs to broaden their offerings of capable 4G devices.